{"id":262765,"date":"2025-11-29T08:25:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-29T09:25:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/express24.ir\/d\/product\/supercourse-0000008467\/"},"modified":"2025-12-22T01:16:51","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T02:16:51","slug":"supercourse-0000008467","status":"publish","type":"product","link":"https:\/\/express24.ir\/d\/product\/supercourse-0000008467\/","title":{"rendered":"\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\ud83c\udf93 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639<\/h2>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
\n

\ud83d\udcda \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647<\/h3>\n

\u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647:<\/strong> \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc:<\/strong> \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06cc:<\/strong> \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (VAR) \u0648 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\ud83d\udccb \u0633\u0631\u0641\u0635\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 (100 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639)<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n 1.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0648 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 2.<\/span> \u0627\u0632 \u062a\u06a9\u200c\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647: \u0686\u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0646\u06cc\u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0645\u061f\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 3.<\/span> \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0627 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 (Stationarity) \u0648 \u0646\u0642\u0634 \u0622\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 4.<\/span> \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u06cc: \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u06cc\u06a9\u06cc-\u0641\u0648\u0644\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u0645\u06cc\u0645\u200c\u06cc\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0647 (ADF)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 5.<\/span> \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u06cc: \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 KPSS \u0648 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0622\u0646 \u0628\u0627 ADF\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 6.<\/span> \u0646\u0648\u0641\u0647 \u0633\u0641\u06cc\u062f (White Noise) \u0628\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0644\u0648\u06a9 \u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 7.<\/span> \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0647\u0645\u0628\u0633\u062a\u06af\u06cc (ACF) \u0648 \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0647\u0645\u0628\u0633\u062a\u06af\u06cc \u062c\u0632\u0626\u06cc (PACF) \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 8.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (Vector Autoregression – VAR)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 9.<\/span> \u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0627\u0631 \u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0636\u06cc \u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u0645\u0627\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR(p)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 10.<\/span> \u0641\u0631\u0636\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR: \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0647\u0645\u0628\u0633\u062a\u06af\u06cc \u0648 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0647\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u0627\u0647\u0627\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 11.<\/span> \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 (Order) \u06cc\u0627 \u0648\u0642\u0641\u0647 (Lag) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0648 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u062d\u06cc\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0622\u0646\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 12.<\/span> \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647: \u0628\u062f\u0647-\u0628\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u06cc\u0627\u0633 \u0648 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633 (Bias-Variance Tradeoff)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 13.<\/span> \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u0645\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u06a9\u0645 (Underfitting)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 14.<\/span> \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u0645\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f (Overfitting)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 15.<\/span> \u0646\u0642\u0634\u0647 \u0631\u0627\u0647 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647: \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u0645\u0634\u06a9\u0644 \u062a\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u0644\u0637 \u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0647 \u062d\u0644 (\u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 16.<\/span> \u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u067e\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0631\u0648\u0634 \u062d\u062f\u0627\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0645\u0648\u0644\u06cc (OLS)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 17.<\/span> \u0627\u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u06cc\u0646\u06a9\u0647 OLS \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a \u062c\u062f\u0627\u06af\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0622\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0633\u062a\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 18.<\/span> \u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0634\u0631\u0637 \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (Stability Condition) \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0632\u062f\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 19.<\/span> \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627: \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0647\u0645\u0628\u0633\u062a\u06af\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0644\u06cc (Portmanteau Test)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 20.<\/span> \u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0646\u0631\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627: \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u0627\u0631\u06a9-\u0628\u0631\u0627 (Jarque-Bera Test)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 21.<\/span> \u062a\u0634\u062e\u06cc\u0635 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0646\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0646\u06cc (Heteroskedasticity) \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 22.<\/span> \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062a\u06a9\u200c\u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc (One-step-ahead) \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 23.<\/span> \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc (Multi-step-ahead) \u0628\u0647 \u0631\u0648\u0634 \u062a\u06a9\u0631\u0627\u0631\u06cc (Iterated)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 24.<\/span> \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0637\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062d\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 25.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0632\u06cc\u0627\u0628\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u062a \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc: MAE, RMSE, MAPE\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 26.<\/span> \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u062a\u06a9\u0627\u0646\u0647-\u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e (Impulse Response Function – IRF) \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u062f\u06cc\u0646\u0627\u0645\u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0645\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 27.<\/span> \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u062e\u0637\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc (Forecast Error Variance Decomposition – FEVD)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 28.<\/span> \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u06af\u0631\u0646\u062c\u0631 (Granger Causality) \u062f\u0631 \u0686\u0627\u0631\u0686\u0648\u0628 VAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 29.<\/span> \u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0648\u06cc\u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647: \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 30.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0622\u06a9\u0627\u0626\u06cc\u06a9\u0647 (Akaike Information Criterion – AIC)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 31.<\/span> \u0641\u0644\u0633\u0641\u0647 \u067e\u0634\u062a AIC: \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0641\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0647 \u06a9\u0648\u0644\u0628\u06a9-\u0644\u0627\u06cc\u0628\u0644\u0631 (Kullback-Leibler)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 32.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0628\u06cc\u0632\u06cc\u0646 (Bayesian Information Criterion – BIC\/SC)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 33.<\/span> \u0641\u0644\u0633\u0641\u0647 \u067e\u0634\u062a BIC: \u062a\u0642\u0631\u06cc\u0628 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u067e\u0633\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0644\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 34.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u062d\u0646\u0627\u0646-\u06a9\u0648\u06cc\u06cc\u0646 (Hannan-Quinn Information Criterion – HQIC)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 35.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u062a\u0631\u0645 \u062c\u0631\u06cc\u0645\u0647 (Penalty Term) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc AIC\u060c BIC \u0648 HQIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 36.<\/span> \u0648\u06cc\u0698\u06af\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631\u06cc (Consistency) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u062f\u0644\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 37.<\/span> \u0686\u0631\u0627 BIC \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u0627\u0645\u0627 AIC \u0646\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u061f\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 38.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc (Final Prediction Error – FPE)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 39.<\/span> \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u06cc\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0632\u0647 \u06a9\u0648\u0686\u06a9\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 40.<\/span> \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0636\u0639\u06cc\u0641 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627 (High-dimensional)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 41.<\/span> \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0647 \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f\u06cc: \u062a\u0636\u0627\u062f \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0648 \u0633\u0631\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0645\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644\u06af\u0631\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 42.<\/span> \u0646\u06cc\u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f: \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u06cc\u0645 \u0628\u0631 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u062a \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 43.<\/span> \u0641\u0644\u0633\u0641\u0647 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0645\u200c\u0628\u062e\u0634: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062e\u0637\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 44.<\/span> \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u0627\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0633 \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0637\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc (Mean Square Forecast Error – MSFE)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 45.<\/span> \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc \u0631\u0633\u0645\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a (Mean Square Information Criterion – MIC)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 46.<\/span> \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0646\u0638\u0631\u06cc MIC: \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062c \u0628\u0631 \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0632\u0646 MSFE\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 47.<\/span> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062c \u0641\u0631\u0645\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0636\u06cc MIC \u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0628\u0647 \u0642\u062f\u0645\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 48.<\/span> \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0627\u0648\u0644 MIC: \u0644\u06af\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u062a\u0645 \u062f\u062a\u0631\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0627\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0633 \u06a9\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u06cc\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 49.<\/span> \u062a\u062c\u0632\u06cc\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u062f\u0648\u0645 MIC: \u062a\u0631\u0645 \u062c\u0631\u06cc\u0645\u0647 \u0648 \u0646\u0642\u0634 \u0622\u0646\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 50.<\/span> \u062a\u0641\u0633\u06cc\u0631 \u0634\u0647\u0648\u062f\u06cc \u062a\u0631\u0645 \u062c\u0631\u06cc\u0645\u0647 \u062f\u0631 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 51.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0641\u0631\u0645\u0648\u0644 \u062c\u0631\u06cc\u0645\u0647 MIC \u0628\u0627 AIC \u0648 BIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 52.<\/span> \u0646\u0642\u0634 \u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc (K) \u0648 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0632\u0647 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0646\u0647 (T) \u062f\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0645\u0648\u0644 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 53.<\/span> \u0648\u06cc\u0698\u06af\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u06cc (Asymptotic Properties) \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 54.<\/span> \u0627\u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0642\u0648\u06cc (Strong Consistency) \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 55.<\/span> \u0686\u0631\u0627 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d\u060c \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06af\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u061f\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 56.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f MIC \u0648 AIC \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 57.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f MIC \u0648 BIC \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 58.<\/span> \u0634\u0628\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0646\u062a \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0644\u0648: \u0637\u0631\u0627\u062d\u06cc \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0632\u06cc\u0627\u0628\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 59.<\/span> \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0634\u0628\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc: \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0648\u0686\u06a9\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 60.<\/span> \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0634\u0628\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc: \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0632\u0631\u06af\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 61.<\/span> \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0634\u0628\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc: \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u06a9\u0645 \u0648 \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 62.<\/span> \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0633\u06cc\u062a MIC \u0628\u0647 \u0646\u0642\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062f\u0644 (\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f \u0646\u0631\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 \u062e\u0637\u0627\u0647\u0627)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 63.<\/span> \u0634\u0647\u0648\u062f \u067e\u0634\u062a \u0628\u0631\u062a\u0631\u06cc MIC: \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0642\u062a \u062f\u0631\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0646\u0647 \u0648 \u062e\u0637\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0646\u0647\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 64.<\/span> \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0647 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u062f\u06cc \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647: \u0686\u0647 \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0648 \u0686\u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f \u0627\u0632 MIC \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u061f\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 65.<\/span> \u06af\u0631\u062f\u0634 \u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 66.<\/span> \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0648\u0644: \u0622\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 (\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc\u060c \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647\u0627)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 67.<\/span> \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u062f\u0648\u0645: \u062a\u0639\u06cc\u06cc\u0646 \u062d\u062f\u0627\u06a9\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 (p_max) \u0648 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0627\u062a \u0622\u0646\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 68.<\/span> \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u0633\u0648\u0645: \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062d\u0644\u0642\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0627\u0632 1 \u062a\u0627 p_max\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 69.<\/span> \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0645: \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0632\u062f\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 70.<\/span> \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u067e\u0646\u062c\u0645: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 71.<\/span> \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0631\u06cc\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0627 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u062a\u0648\u0646 (\u0628\u0627 \u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628\u062e\u0627\u0646\u0647 statsmodels)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 72.<\/span> \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u0631\u06cc\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0627 MIC \u062f\u0631 R (\u0628\u0627 \u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628\u062e\u0627\u0646\u0647 vars)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 73.<\/span> \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0647 \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f\u06cc \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639: \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc (\u062a\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u062f \u0646\u0627\u062e\u0627\u0644\u0635 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u06cc\u060c \u062a\u0648\u0631\u0645\u060c \u0646\u0631\u062e \u0628\u0647\u0631\u0647)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 74.<\/span> \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0647 \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f\u06cc: \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 MIC\u060c AIC \u0648 BIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 75.<\/span> \u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a \u0648 \u0627\u0631\u0632\u06cc\u0627\u0628\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0628 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 76.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0628\u062a\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0631 MIC\u060c AIC \u0648 BIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 77.<\/span> \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0627\u0631\u06cc (IRF \u0648 FEVD) \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0645\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0628 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 78.<\/span> \u0646\u06a9\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u062a\u0631\u0641\u0646\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0647\u0646\u06af\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 79.<\/span> \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u062f\u0631 \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u06cc\u0631 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 80.<\/span> \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u06cc\u062c \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0627 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0646\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 81.<\/span> \u0641\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0632 VAR \u0627\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0627: \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0645\u200c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0634\u062a\u06af\u06cc (Cointegration)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 82.<\/span> \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0645\u200c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0634\u062a\u06af\u06cc \u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0646 (Johansen Test) \u0648 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0622\u0646 \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 VAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 83.<\/span> \u0645\u062f\u0644 \u062a\u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d \u062e\u0637\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (Vector Error Correction Model – VECM)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 84.<\/span> \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VECM\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 85.<\/span> \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f \u0627\u06cc\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VECM\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 86.<\/span> \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0633\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0627\u0631\u06cc (Structural VAR – SVAR) \u0648 \u0642\u06cc\u0648\u062f \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0627\u06cc\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 87.<\/span> \u062a\u0623\u062b\u06cc\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d \u0628\u0631 \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc SVAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 88.<\/span> \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0632\u0627 (VARX) \u0648 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0622\u0646\u0647\u0627\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 89.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0628\u06cc\u0632\u06cc\u0646 (Bayesian VAR – BVAR)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 90.<\/span> \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0646\u0638\u06cc\u0645 \u0627\u0628\u0631\u067e\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0631\u0647\u0627 (Hyperparameters) \u062f\u0631 BVAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 91.<\/span> \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0628\u0632\u0631\u06af (Large-scale VARs) \u0648 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0646\u0641\u0631\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f (Curse of Dimensionality)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 92.<\/span> \u0631\u0648\u06cc\u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0646\u0648\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc VAR\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0632\u0631\u06af (\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f Lasso-VAR)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 93.<\/span> \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u06cc\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0648 \u0632\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 94.<\/span> \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 MIC \u0628\u0627 \u0631\u0648\u06cc\u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0634\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u062f\u0644 (\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f Cross-Validation)\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 95.<\/span> \u062c\u0645\u0639\u200c\u0628\u0646\u062f\u06cc \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647: \u0686\u0627\u0631\u0686\u0648\u0628 \u06cc\u06a9\u067e\u0627\u0631\u0686\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f VAR\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 96.<\/span> \u0686\u06a9\u200c\u0644\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06cc: \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u062e\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 MIC\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 97.<\/span> \u0628\u0647\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0646 \u0634\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 98.<\/span> \u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u067e\u0631\u0648\u0698\u0647 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc: \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0648\u06cc \u06cc\u06a9 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc\n <\/li>\n
  • \n 99.<\/span> \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc: \u0641\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0632 VAR \u0648 MIC\n <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    \n
    \n
    \n
    \n
    \n \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f<\/title><br \/>\n<\/head><br \/>\n<body><\/p>\n<h2>\u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0647 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f!<\/h2>\n<p>\u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0646\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0686\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0648 \u067e\u0648\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0632\u060c \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647 \u0646\u0642\u0634\u06cc \u062d\u06cc\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u06cc\u0645\u200c\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0698\u06cc\u06a9 \u0627\u06cc\u0641\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc \u06af\u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u062a\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc \u0648 \u062d\u062a\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u067e\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u06cc\u060c \u0646\u06cc\u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0628\u0632\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0648 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u06cc\u0634 \u0627\u0632 \u067e\u06cc\u0634 \u0627\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f. \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (VAR) \u06cc\u06a9\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u067e\u0631\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0632\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0647\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a.<\/p>\n<p>\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0645\u06cc “Order Selection in Vector Autoregression by Mean Square Information Criterion” \u0631\u0627\u0647\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0646\u0648\u0622\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062f\u0647\u062f. \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC (Mean Square Information Criterion) \u0628\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062c\u0627\u06cc\u06af\u0632\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0622\u0645\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0646\u0646\u062f AIC\u060c BIC \u0648 HQ\u060c \u0627\u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0648 \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u062a\u06cc\u062c\u0647 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u0631\u0627 \u0641\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc “\u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f” \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0632 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0631\u0632\u0634\u0645\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0634\u0645\u0627 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u06cc\u0631 \u062a\u0633\u0644\u0637 \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0648 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0647\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f.<\/p>\n<h2>\u062f\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647<\/h2>\n<p>\u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u060c \u0634\u0645\u0627 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (VAR) \u0648 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0622\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0622\u0634\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632 \u0627\u0635\u0644\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0648\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC (Mean Square Information Criterion) \u0648 \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0622\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0634\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0634\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u0686\u06af\u0648\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0631\u0648\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc\u060c \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u200c\u062a\u0631\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u062f\u0647\u062f. \u062f\u0631 \u0637\u0648\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647\u060c \u0634\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0626\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0622\u0634\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u06cc\u062f\u060c \u0628\u0644\u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06cc \u0648 \u067e\u0631\u0648\u0698\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc\u060c \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637 R \u0641\u0631\u0627 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u062f \u06af\u0631\u0641\u062a.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u062f\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u0622\u0634\u0646\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (VAR)<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0648 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d \u0622\u0646<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 (AIC, BIC, HQ) \u0648 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u06cc\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC (Mean Square Information Criterion) \u0648 \u0645\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0626\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0648 \u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0636\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC<\/li>\n<li>\u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637 R<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u0634\u0628\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u062f\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u062d\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0648 \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06cc<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0628\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647<\/h2>\n<p>\u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0632\u06cc\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0633\u062a:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062f\u0627\u0646\u0634\u062c\u0648\u06cc\u0627\u0646 \u0648 \u0641\u0627\u0631\u063a\u200c\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0635\u06cc\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0631\u0634\u062a\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062a\u060c \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u060c \u0622\u0645\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0645\u0647\u0646\u062f\u0633\u06cc \u0635\u0646\u0627\u06cc\u0639 \u0648 \u0633\u0627\u06cc\u0631 \u0631\u0634\u062a\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0648 \u062f\u0627\u0646\u0634\u0645\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647 \u0633\u0631\u0648\u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0631\u0646\u062f<\/li>\n<li>\u067e\u0698\u0648\u0647\u0634\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0628\u0632\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0648 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062a\u062e\u0635\u0635\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0647\u0628\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0642\u062a \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f<\/li>\n<li>\u0647\u0631 \u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0647\u200c\u0645\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0648 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u0686\u0631\u0627 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u06af\u0630\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u0645\u061f<\/h2>\n<p>\u0628\u0627 \u06af\u0630\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0646 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647\u060c \u0634\u0645\u0627:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0645\u0633\u0644\u0637 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0631\u0627 \u0641\u0631\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647 \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u062f \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637 R \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u0627\u062c\u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0627\u0646\u0634 \u062e\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062d\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u06cc\u0645\u200c\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0647\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0628\u0632\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0648 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0632\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0645\u062c\u0647\u0632 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0632 \u0631\u0642\u0628\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0632 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0627 \u067e\u06a9\u06cc\u062c micvar \u062f\u0631 R \u0622\u0634\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u06cc\u062f \u0648 \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u06cc\u062f\u060c \u0647\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0686\u06a9\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0622\u0646 \u0627\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u0633\u0631\u0641\u0635\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647<\/h2>\n<p>\u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 100 \u0633\u0631\u0641\u0635\u0644 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u0647 \u06af\u0627\u0645 \u0634\u0645\u0627 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u06cc\u0631 \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u0648 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0647\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646\u062c\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u062e\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0633\u0631\u0641\u0635\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u062f\u06cc \u0627\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u0645:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0648 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u062a\u06a9 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647 (AR, MA, ARIMA)<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u0622\u0645\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f \u0646\u06cc\u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u0622\u0634\u0646\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0641\u0636\u0627\u06cc \u062d\u0627\u0644\u062a (State Space) \u0648 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u0648 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0631\u06af\u0631\u0633\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc (VAR)<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 VAR \u0647\u0627 (VAR(p), SVAR, VEC)<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u067e\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0631\u0648\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 (OLS, MLE)<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0634\u062e\u06cc\u0635 \u0648 \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0627\u06cc\u06cc (Stationarity) \u0648 \u0647\u0645\u200c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0634\u062a\u06af\u06cc (Cointegration) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR: \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc AIC, BIC, HQ<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC (Mean Square Information Criterion)<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0626\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0648 \u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0636\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0647 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0635 \u0622\u0645\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC<\/li>\n<li>\u067e\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637 R<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0627 \u0633\u0627\u06cc\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0634\u0628\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u062f\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0633\u0647 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0627 \u0633\u0627\u06cc\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc \u0648 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc \u06a9\u0644\u0627\u0646<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0633\u0647\u0627\u0645<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0646\u0631\u062e \u0627\u0631\u0632<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc SVAR<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0648 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VEC<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u0627\u062b\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0634\u0648\u06a9 (Impulse Response) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633 (Variance Decomposition) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0634\u062e\u06cc\u0635 \u0645\u062f\u0644 (Model Diagnostic Tests) \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u0631\u0648\u0634\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0647\u0628\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0642\u062a \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u0631\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u062e\u0637\u0627\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0646\u0627\u0627\u0637\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR<\/li>\n<li>\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0633\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0648\u0644\u06cc \u0648 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc<\/li>\n<li>\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062a \u0631\u06cc\u0633\u06a9<\/li>\n<li>\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062f\u0631 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627<\/li>\n<li>\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u06cc<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u06cc \u067e\u06a9\u06cc\u062c micvar \u062f\u0631 R \u0648 \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0622\u0646<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0644\u06cc \u0648 \u067e\u0631\u0648\u0698\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC<\/li>\n<li>\u062d\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0648 \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647<\/li>\n<li>\u0648 \u0628\u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062f\u06cc\u06af\u0631…<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0632 \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 “\u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f” \u062b\u0628\u062a\u200c\u0646\u0627\u0645 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f \u0631\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0642\u0627 \u062f\u0647\u06cc\u062f!<\/p>\n<p><\/body><br \/>\n<\/html><\/div>\n<div\r\n style=\"border: 2px dashed #4CAF50; border-radius: 16px; padding: 20px; background: #f9fff9; font-family: 'IRANSans', sans-serif;\">\r\n <h2 style=\"color: #2E7D32; margin-top: 0;\">\ud83d\udcda \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0648\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc (\u067e\u06a9\u06cc\u062c \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644)<\/h2>\r\n <div\r\n style=\"background: #E8F5E9; border-radius: 12px; padding: 15px 20px; margin-bottom: 20px; border: 1px solid #A5D6A7;\">\r\n <h3 style=\"color: #1B5E20; margin-top: 0;\">\ud83d\udca1 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647\u0654 \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0648 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a<\/h3>\r\n <p style=\"font-size:16px; line-height:1.8; color:#2E7D32; margin:0;\"> \u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0648\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u06cc\u06a9\r\n \u0628\u0633\u062a\u0647\u200c\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0648 \u06cc\u06a9\u067e\u0627\u0631\u0686\u0647 \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f \u0648 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0641\u0627\u06cc\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0646\u06cc\u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a. <\/p>\r\n <\/div>\r\n <h3 style=\"color: #2E7D32;\">\ud83c\udf81 \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0648\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0633\u062a\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0646\u0644\u0648\u062f\u06cc<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\t\r\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: '\u2705 '; padding-left: 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8;\">\r\n <li><strong>\u0648\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u06cc<\/strong> \u2014 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634 \u0642\u062f\u0645\u200c\u0628\u0647\u200c\u0642\u062f\u0645\u060c \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f\u06cc \u0648 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0641\u0647\u0645<\/li>\r\n <li><strong>\u067e\u0627\u062f\u06a9\u0633\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0635\u0648\u062a\u06cc \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u06cc<\/strong> \u2014 \u062a\u0648\u0636\u06cc\u062d \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u062f\u06cc \u0648 \u0646\u06a9\u0627\u062a \u062a\u06a9\u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc<\/li>\r\n <li><strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 PDF \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u06cc<\/strong> \u2014 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u0647\u0654 \u0633\u0631\u0641\u0635\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0648\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc<\/li>\r\n <li><strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0647 \u0646\u06a9\u0627\u062a \u0648\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u067e\u0627\u062f\u06a9\u0633\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF<\/strong> \u2014 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u0639 \u0648 \u062c\u0645\u0639\u200c\u0628\u0646\u062f\u06cc \u0645\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b<\/li>\r\n <li><strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0635\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u06a9\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u06cc (\u062e\u0648\u062f\u0645\u0648\u0646\u06cc) \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF<\/strong> \u2014 \u0632\u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0633\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0648 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0631\u062f\u06cc<\/li>\r\n <li><strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0635\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u06a9\u062a\u0647 \u0631\u0633\u0645\u06cc \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u06cc \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF<\/strong> \u2014 \u0646\u06af\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0645\u06cc \u0648 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0686\u0627\u067e<\/li>\r\n\r\n <li>\r\n <strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0635\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u067e\u0631\u0633\u0634 \u0648 \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e \u062a\u0634\u0631\u06cc\u062d\u06cc \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF<\/strong><br>\r\n \u2014 \u0647\u0631 \u0633\u0624\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0647 \u0647\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0648 \u0634\u0641\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u061b \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u062f\u0631\u06a9 \u0639\u0645\u06cc\u0642 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u0648 \u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0628\u0647\u0627\u0645.\r\n <\/li>\r\n\r\n <li>\r\n <strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0635\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u067e\u0631\u0633\u0634 \u0648 \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631\u06af\u0632\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF (\u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u0639)<\/strong><br>\r\n \u2014 \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0647 \u067e\u0633 \u0627\u0632 \u0633\u0624\u0627\u0644 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0631\u0646\u062f\u061b \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u0639 \u0648 \u062a\u062b\u0628\u06cc\u062a \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628.\r\n <\/li>\r\n\r\n <li>\r\n <strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0635\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u067e\u0631\u0633\u0634 \u0648 \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631\u06af\u0632\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF (\u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0622\u0632\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u200c\u0628\u062e\u0634)<\/strong><br>\r\n \u2014 \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0631 \u0628\u062e\u0634 \u0622\u0645\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0627\u0646\u062f\u061b \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0622\u0632\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u0633\u0646\u062c\u0634 \u0645\u06cc\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc.\r\n <\/li>\r\n\r\n <li>\r\n <strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0631\u0633\u062a \/ \u0646\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0633\u062a (True \/ False) \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF<\/strong><br>\r\n \u2014 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u062f\u0642\u062a \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u06cc \u0648 \u062a\u0634\u062e\u06cc\u0635 \u0635\u062d\u06cc\u062d \u06cc\u0627 \u0646\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0633\u062a \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627.\r\n <\/li>\r\n\r\n <li>\r\n <strong>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062c\u0627\u06cc \u062e\u0627\u0644\u06cc \u2013 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647 PDF<\/strong><br>\r\n \u2014 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u06cc\u062a \u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644 \u0648 \u062a\u0633\u0644\u0637 \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u0648 \u0627\u0635\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0627\u062a \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u062f\u06cc.\r\n <\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n <p style=\"color: #388E3C; font-weight: bold; font-size: 18px; margin-top: 20px;\"> \ud83c\udfaf \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0633\u062a\u0647 \u06cc\u06a9 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0654 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0648\r\n \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0644\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u061b \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0622\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0634 \u062a\u0635\u0648\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u060c \u0635\u0648\u062a\u06cc\u060c \u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628\u200c\u0647\u0627\u060c \u062a\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u062e\u0648\u062f\u0622\u0632\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u06cc . <\/p>\r\n <hr style=\"border: none; border-top: 1px dashed #81C784; margin: 20px 0;\">\r\n <h3 style=\"color: #2E7D32;\">\u2139\ufe0f \u0646\u06a9\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0647\u0645 \u0647\u0646\u06af\u0627\u0645 \u062e\u0631\u06cc\u062f<\/h3>\r\n <ul style=\"list-style-type: '\ud83d\udd38 '; padding-left: 20px; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.9;\">\r\n <li>\u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u0647 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a <strong>\u0641\u0627\u06cc\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0646\u0644\u0648\u062f\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644<\/strong> \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f \u0648 \u0646\u0633\u062e\u0647\u0654 \u0686\u0627\u067e\u06cc \u0646\u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f.<\/li>\r\n <li>\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u0641\u0627\u06cc\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628\u200c\u0647\u0627 <strong>\u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u06cc<\/strong> \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\r\n <li><strong>\u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647:<\/strong> \u0644\u06cc\u0646\u06a9\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0635\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0637\u06cc <strong>\u06f4\u06f8 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u062a<\/strong> \u067e\u0633 \u0627\u0632 \u062b\u0628\u062a \u0633\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\r\n <li>\u0646\u06cc\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0631\u062c \u0634\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0645\u0648\u0628\u0627\u06cc\u0644 \u0646\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u061b \u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0634\u062a\u06cc\u0628\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u0639\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u06cc\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f.<\/li>\r\n <li>\u062f\u0631 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0632 \u0645\u0634\u06a9\u0644 \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0646\u0644\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0627 \u0634\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0647 <strong>09395106248<\/strong> \u062a\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0628\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc\u062f.<\/li>\r\n <li>\u0627\u06af\u0631 \u067e\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062e\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0645 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u06cc \u0644\u06cc\u0646\u06a9\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0641\u062a \u0646\u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc\u062f\u060c \u0646\u0627\u0645 \u0648 \u0646\u0627\u0645 \u062e\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062f\u06af\u06cc \u0648 \u0646\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u0645\u06a9 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f \u062a\u0627\r\n \u0644\u06cc\u0646\u06a9\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644 \u0634\u0648\u0646\u062f.<\/li>\r\n <\/ul>\r\n <p style=\"font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; margin-top: 15px;\"> \ud83d\udcac \u0631\u0627\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u06cc \u067e\u0634\u062a\u06cc\u0628\u0627\u0646\u06cc:<br> \u0648\u0627\u062a\u0633\u200c\u0627\u067e \u06cc\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u0645\u06a9:\r\n <strong>09395106248<\/strong><br> \u062a\u0644\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0645: <strong>@ma_limbs<\/strong> <\/p>\r\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0647 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f! \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0646\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0686\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0648 \u067e\u0648\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0632\u060c \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0633\u0631\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f\u0645\u062a\u063a\u06cc\u0631\u0647 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":67493,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"pmpro_default_level":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"product_cat":[1221,243570,243571],"product_tag":[479,14742,243573,139605,243575,5963,6208,238920,238677,243574,56714,56713,139600,15175,243572],"class_list":{"0":"post-262765","1":"product","2":"type-product","3":"status-publish","4":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"product_cat-1221","7":"product_cat-243570","8":"product_cat----var--","9":"product_tag-econometrics","10":"product_tag-forecasting","11":"product_tag-mean-square-information-criterion","12":"product_tag-multivariate-time-series","13":"product_tag-order-selection","14":"product_tag-statistical-modeling","15":"product_tag-time-series-analysis","16":"product_tag-var","17":"product_tag-vector-autoregression","18":"product_tag-243574","19":"product_tag-56714","20":"product_tag-56713","21":"product_tag-139600","22":"product_tag-15175","23":"product_tag--mic","24":"pmpro-has-access","25":"desktop-align-left","26":"tablet-align-left","27":"mobile-align-left","29":"first","30":"instock","31":"shipping-taxable","32":"purchasable","33":"product-type-variable"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f - \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0634\u06af\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u06a9\u0633\u067e\u0631\u0633<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/express24.ir\/d\/product\/supercourse-0000008467\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fa_IR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u06a9\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f - \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0634\u06af\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u06a9\u0633\u067e\u0631\u0633\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC: \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0647\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0645\u062f\u0644 VAR \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642 \u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0645\u0646\u062f \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u200c\u062a\u0631 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u06cc\u0627\u0631 MIC \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0647 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f! \u062f\u0631 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